My friend tells me that there is a 99% chance he will turn up for our meeting.
He doesn't come.
Was he lying?
Monday, 1 February 2010
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Armchair philosophizing that sometimes takes itself (too) seriously.
"Words ought to be a little wild for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking."
— John Maynard Keynes
2 comments:
You will know when he turns up for another 99 meetings? lolx
haha perhaps, but one must remember the gambler's fallacy - each of those 99 other meetings are also subjected to a probability of 0.99 attendance, which means there is still the likelihood he might not turn up!
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